Angers vs Nantes — Ligue 1

**Angers 4-1 Nantes**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 70% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (43%) and attack (31%). The most striking contrast was in long-range attempts, where Angers made 12 shots from distance compared to just 3 from Nantes, a +9 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, both sides were active in front of goal, recording 13 shots on target in total (89th percentile of joint volume), with Angers leading 9 to 4 (91st percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Angers created the most clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 5 big chances to Nantes' 0 (90th percentile of gaps). The build-up was defined by a lack of direct play, as both teams combined for only 26 accurate long balls (1st percentile of joint volume), with no real difference between them. Instead, both sides were very active in their own halves, completing 482 passes in total (96th percentile of joint volume), though Angers made 274 to Nantes' 208 (75th percentile of gaps). While there were few accurate crosses in the match (13th percentile of joint volume), Angers was clearly ahead with 3 to Nantes' 1. In terms of physical duels, Angers won 20 tackles to 13 (89th percentile of gaps) and recorded 20 clearances to 16. There were also few successful dribbles in the match (7th percentile of joint volume), but Angers was clearly ahead with 5 to 2.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Angers win 64%, draw 24%, and Nantes win 12%. The performances pointed to an Angers win and that is what happened, supported by their 5 big chances to 0 and 9 shots on target to 4.