Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen — Bundesliga

**Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen**

**What set this match apart:** A very typical match: only small details set it apart; 87% of matches were more unusual than this one. The unusualness was primarily found in the build-up (43%), followed by defending (25%) and attack (22%). Despite a low volume of shots inside the box overall (17 in total, 25th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Borussia Dortmund was clearly ahead with 14 to Werder Bremen's 3, a gap at the 95th percentile. This was mirrored in the build-up, where both teams completed a high volume of passes in their own half (531 in total, 97th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Werder Bremen was clearly ahead with 335 to Borussia Dortmund's 196, a gap at the 94th percentile.

**How it played out:** Borussia Dortmund maintained a significant territorial advantage, completing 195 passes in the opponent's half compared to Werder Bremen's 130, a gap at the 69th percentile. This pressure forced Werder Bremen to throw bodies in front of shots, as they recorded 6 blocked shots to Borussia Dortmund's 1, a gap at the 90th percentile. Borussia Dortmund also won the ball back more frequently through physical challenges, recording 18 tackles to Werder Bremen's 11, a gap at the 89th percentile. While both sides were active in cutting passing lanes with 26 interceptions in total (87th percentile of joint volume), Borussia Dortmund was more successful in one-on-one situations, recording 7 successful dribbles to Werder Bremen's 4, a gap at the 75th percentile. In terms of direct play, few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (44 in total, 20th percentile of joint volume), but Werder Bremen was clearly ahead with 25 to Borussia Dortmund's 19, a gap at the 73rd percentile.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Borussia Dortmund win (67%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Borussia Dortmund win 67%, draw 21%, and Werder Bremen win 12%. This result was supported by Borussia Dortmund's 8 shots on target to Werder Bremen's 3.