Torino vs Lecce — Serie A

**Torino 1-0 Lecce**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 77% of matches, with the atypicality primarily rooted in defending (63% of the unusualness). The physical nature of the game was defined by a massive disparity in ground duels, where Torino won 51 to Lecce's 29, a +22 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, both sides were under constant pressure, resulting in a high volume of blocked shots (12 in total, 98th percentile of joint volume) and clearances (58 in total, 79th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Torino's defensive profile was characterized by a relentless effort to win the ball back by challenging, making 30 tackles to Lecce's 13, a +17 gap at the 100th percentile of gaps. They also managed 43 clearances to Lecce's 15, a +28 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps, indicating a side defending deep and getting the ball away under pressure. In contrast, Lecce found ways to sustain pressure near the opponent's goal, recording 8 corners to Torino's 3, a +5 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. Torino was more successful in getting into dangerous areas, recording 12 shots inside the box compared to Lecce's 5, a +7 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. While both teams took many shots from distance (14 in total, 89th percentile of joint volume), Lecce was more active in this area with 9 to Torino's 5, a +4 gap at the 86th percentile of gaps. Few successful dribbles occurred in the match (12 in total, 23rd percentile of joint volume), but Torino was clearly ahead with 9 to Lecce's 3, a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. There were few interceptions in the match (10 in total, 2nd percentile of joint volume), but Torino was clearly ahead with 8 to Lecce's 2, a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Torino win 78%, draw 19%, and Lecce win 3%. The performances pointed to a Torino win and that is what happened, supported by Torino creating 4 big chances to Lecce's 0.