Altach vs BW Linz — Austrian Bundesliga

**Altach 1-0 BW Linz**

**What set this match apart:** A fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits (57% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the defending (46%) and build-up (29%) phases. BW Linz were significantly more active on the flanks, recording 8 accurate crosses to Altach's 2, a +6 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Conversely, both sides were under heavy pressure, evidenced by a massive 76 clearances in total, which ranks at the 99th percentile of joint volume.

**How it played out:** BW Linz were the more active side in the opponent's half, completing 141 passes to Altach's 79, even though the match saw few passes in the opponent's half overall (220 in total, 8th percentile of joint volume). This territorial presence was paired with a physical aerial game, where BW Linz won 25 aerial duels to Altach's 17, a +8 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. Defensively, BW Linz were also more proactive in cutting passing lanes, recording 13 interceptions to Altach's 7, a +6 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. In the final third, both teams were frequently getting into dangerous areas, recording 17 shots inside the box in total (78th percentile of joint volume). While BW Linz took 7 shots from distance to Altach's 2, a +5 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps, both sides struggled to create clear-cut opportunities, with only 1 big chance recorded in total (26th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Altach win 24%, draw 44%, and BW Linz win 32%. The performances pointed toward a draw, and the actual result was the least likely of the three outcomes. With only one big chance for Altach and zero for BW Linz, the narrow 1-0 scoreline reflects a game of high pressure and low conversion.