FK Spartak Subotica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo — Serbian Super League

**FK Spartak Subotica 0-3 Zeleznicar Pancevo**

**What set this match apart:** A very typical match: only small details set it apart (99% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking contrast was found in the aerial duels, where FK Spartak Subotica won 17 to 9, a +8 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. Conversely, Zeleznicar Pancevo was much more active in winning the ball back through challenges, recording 22 tackles to FK Spartak Subotica's 17, a +5 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. While the unusualness was spread across duels, build-up, attack, and defending, the game remained largely within standard parameters.

**How it played out:** Zeleznicar Pancevo was the more direct threat in front of goal, recording 5 shots on target to FK Spartak Subotica's 2, a +3 gap at the 83rd percentile of gaps. This translated into more clear-cut scoring opportunities, as few big chances occurred in the match, but Zeleznicar Pancevo was clearly ahead with 2 to 0, a gap at the 83rd percentile. FK Spartak Subotica, meanwhile, spent more time in the opponent's half, recording 192 passes to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 86, a +106 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps. Despite this territorial presence, they were also more active in their own half, completing 207 passes compared to 162 for Zeleznicar Pancevo, a +45 gap at the 67th percentile of gaps. Zeleznicar Pancevo also faced more pressure, as they recorded 26 clearances to FK Spartak Subotica's 10, a +16 gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. Both sides were successful in one-on-one situations, with 19 successful dribbles in total, a high volume at the 80th percentile of joint volume.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Zeleznicar Pancevo win (54%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are FK Spartak Subotica win 11%, draw 35%, and Zeleznicar Pancevo win 54%. With Zeleznicar Pancevo creating 2 big chances to 0, the result was deserved.