Chattanooga FC vs Kalonji Pro-Profile — Open Cup (USA)

**Chattanooga FC 2-1 Kalonji Pro-Profile**

**What set this match apart:** This was a fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits (51% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking feature was the disparity in getting into dangerous areas, as Chattanooga FC made 18 shots inside the box compared to just 5 for Kalonji Pro-Profile, a +13 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. Defensively, Kalonji Pro-Profile threw bodies in front of shots much more frequently, recording 9 blocked shots to Chattanooga FC's 1, a +8 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. These outliers in attacking access and defensive pressure defined the match's unique profile.

**How it played out:** Chattanooga FC maintained a higher volume of pressure near the opponent's goal, as they recorded 7 corners to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 1, despite only 8 corners being taken in the match. Both sides bypassed the midfield frequently with 71 accurate long balls (88th percentile of joint volume), with Chattanooga FC making 43 to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 28, a +15 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. They also utilized the flanks extensively, recording 13 accurate crosses (89th percentile of joint volume), with Chattanooga FC making 9 to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 4, a +5 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. On the defensive side, both teams were active in winning the ball back, recording 48 tackles (98th percentile of joint volume), with Chattanooga FC making 27 to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 21, a +6 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. While few interceptions occurred in the match (14 in total, 26th percentile of joint volume), Chattanooga FC made 8 to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 6, a +2 gap at the 70th percentile of gaps. The game was also combative on the ground, with 89 ground duels won (92nd percentile of joint volume), and Chattanooga FC winning 51 to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 38, a +13 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chattanooga FC win 46%, draw 31%, and Kalonji Pro-Profile win 23%. The performances pointed to a Chattanooga FC win and that is what happened, supported by their 4 big chances to Kalonji Pro-Profile's 2.