**Chivas 5-0 Leon**
**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 69% of matches, with the atypicality concentrated in the attack (44%) and build-up (36%). The disparity in creating clear-cut scoring opportunities was the most striking feature: few big chances occurred in the match (12 in total, 7th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 12 to Leon's 0, a gap at the 100th percentile of gaps. A similar pattern emerged in the final third: few shots inside the box were recorded in the match (25 in total, 4th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet Chivas was clearly ahead with 24 to Leon's 1, also at the 100th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:** Chivas maintained a significant territorial advantage, making 363 passes in the opponent's half compared to Leon's 57, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps, even though few passes in the opponent's half were made in the match (420 in total, 6th percentile of joint volume). This pressure was reflected in the set pieces, where few corners were taken in the match (12 in total, 5th percentile of joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 12 to Leon's 0, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Leon attempted to defend the lead by throwing bodies in front of shots, making 9 blocked shots to Chivas's 0, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps, despite few blocked shots occurring in the match (9 in total, 22nd percentile of joint volume). In the air, Leon won more of the few aerial duels won in the match (13 to 7, 83rd percentile of gaps). Chivas also found more success in one-on-one situations, with few successful dribbles in the match (13 in total, 24th percentile of joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 10 to Leon's 3, a gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.
**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chivas win 79%, draw 12%, and Leon win 9%. The performances pointed to a Chivas win and that is what happened, supported by a massive gap in big chances (12 to 0) and shots on target (16 to 1).
Deze analyse is gemaakt door een intern ontwikkeld model en kan onnauwkeurigheden bevatten · Experimenteel
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