Sarmiento vs Aldosivi — Liga Profesional

**Sarmiento 2-0 Aldosivi**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (93% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking feature was the heavy focus on wide play, with both teams completing 17 accurate crosses (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Aldosivi led this area significantly, recording 11 to Sarmiento's 6 (91st percentile of gaps). Despite this, the game remained largely conventional in its overall structure.

**How it played out:** Aldosivi showed a clear preference for ball retention in both halves of the pitch. They completed 155 passes in the opponent's half compared to Sarmiento's 95 (77th percentile of gaps), even though the match saw few passes in the opponent's half overall (250 in total, 23rd percentile of joint volume). Similarly, Aldosivi was clearly ahead in their own half with 142 passes to Sarmiento's 100 (69th percentile of gaps), despite few passes in their own half in the match (242 in total, 18th percentile of joint volume). On the ground, Aldosivi also won more duels, recording 28 to Sarmiento's 21 (79th percentile of gaps), even though few ground duels were won in the match (49 in total, 5th percentile of joint volume). Sarmiento, meanwhile, faced more pressure, recording 34 clearances to Aldosivi's 27 (77th percentile of gaps) and 3 blocked shots to 1 (85th percentile of gaps). While Aldosivi beat more opponents one-on-one with 8 successful dribbles to Sarmiento's 4 (80th percentile of gaps), Sarmiento was more direct, recording 4 shots on target to Aldosivi's 2 (69th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Sarmiento win (54%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Sarmiento win 54%, draw 37%, and Aldosivi win 9%. With Sarmiento recording 2 big chances to Aldosivi's 0, the result was deserved.