Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Schweinfurt — 3. Liga

**Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 FC Schweinfurt**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (95% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking features were found in the build-up, where both teams produced a high volume of accurate crosses, totaling 16 (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). FC Schweinfurt held a slight edge here with 9 to Waldhof Mannheim's 7 (73rd percentile of gaps). Additionally, the sides generated a high volume of corners, with 14 in total (94th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), and Waldhof Mannheim led 8 to 6 (66th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Both sides spent significant time in the opponent's half, completing 320 passes between them (76th percentile of the two teams' joint volume) with no real difference in distribution. In their own half, few passes were made in the match (259 in total, 23rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Waldhof Mannheim was clearly ahead with 154 to FC Schweinfurt's 105 (68th percentile of gaps). Defensively, both teams were under pressure and produced a high volume of clearances, 50 in total (86th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with Waldhof Mannheim recording 26 and FC Schweinfurt 24. While few interceptions occurred in the match (15 in total, 25th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Waldhof Mannheim was clearly ahead with 10 to FC Schweinfurt's 5 (86th percentile of gaps). On the attack, both teams took many shots from distance, 14 in total (89th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with Waldhof Mannheim making 9 to FC Schweinfurt's 5 (84th percentile of gaps). Waldhof Mannheim also had a more direct threat on goal, making 7 shots on target to FC Schweinfurt's 3 (86th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Waldhof Mannheim win 53%, draw 34%, and FC Schweinfurt win 13%. The performances leaned towards a Waldhof Mannheim win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With Waldhof Mannheim creating 2 big chances to FC Schweinfurt's 1, the draw remains a very plausible outcome.