Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano — Copa Chile

**Colo Colo 1-0 Audax Italiano**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 77% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (39%) and attack (31%). The most striking feature was the direct play, as both teams completed a massive volume of accurate long balls, 87 in total (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Colo Colo held a +7 edge in this area (47 to 40, 71st percentile of gaps). Furthermore, both sides were extremely active in their own halves, recording 402 passes in total (76th percentile of joint volume), while Colo Colo completed 252 of those compared to Audax Italiano's 150 (86th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** The game was defined by a high volume of defensive actions and physical duels. Both teams were forced to clear the ball frequently, recording 62 clearances in total (95th percentile of joint volume), with Audax Italiano making 32 to Colo Colo's 30. This pressure was mirrored by 8 blocked shots in total (88th percentile of joint volume). In the air, Colo Colo won 19 aerial duels to Audax Italiano's 11 (90th percentile of gaps). While both sides were active in the opponent's half with 370 passes in total (84th percentile of joint volume), Colo Colo was more active there, completing 240 to Audax Italiano's 130 (81st percentile of gaps). Despite this territorial control, there were few big chances in the match, with 0 for each side (9th percentile of joint volume). Both teams opted for long-range attempts, recording 15 shots from distance in total (91st percentile of joint volume), and finished with 9 shots on target in total (73rd percentile of joint volume). There were few corners in the match, but Colo Colo was clearly ahead with 6 to Audax Italiano's 1.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Colo Colo win 29%, draw 41%, and Audax Italiano win 30%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 4 shots on target for Colo Colo and 5 for Audax Italiano, the narrow margin reflects a game where neither side could create a clear-cut scoring opportunity.