**Saint Martin 0-2 U.S. Virgin Islands**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 77% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking figures involve the defensive pressure and the build-up. Both teams recorded a high volume of clearances, 65 in total (98th percentile of joint volume), with U.S. Virgin Islands making 43 to Saint Martin's 22, a +21 gap at the 88th percentile of gaps. In terms of build-up, few passes were made in the opponent's half overall (274 in total, 10th percentile of joint volume), but Saint Martin was clearly ahead with 220 to U.S. Virgin Islands' 54, a +166 gap at the 80th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:**
Saint Martin exerted significant pressure in the final third, recording 12 corners to U.S. Virgin Islands' 3, a +9 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. This pressure translated into a high volume of shots inside the box, 25 in total (93rd percentile of joint volume), with Saint Martin making 19 to U.S. Virgin Islands' 6, a +13 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. They also took more shots from distance, 10 to 5, a +5 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. Conversely, U.S. Virgin Islands were more active in blocking attempts, recording 8 blocked shots to Saint Martin's 2, a +6 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. While Saint Martin was more active in the attacking third, few passes were made in their own half overall (231 in total, 8th percentile of joint volume), but Saint Martin was clearly ahead with 151 to U.S. Virgin Islands' 80, a +71 gap at the 72nd percentile of gaps. The game remained physical in the air, with 41 aerial duels won overall (91st percentile of joint volume), and Saint Martin winning 22 to U.S. Virgin Islands' 19.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Saint Martin win 29%, draw 44%, and U.S. Virgin Islands win 27%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. Saint Martin had 6 shots on target to U.S. Virgin Islands' 3.
Deze analyse is gemaakt door een intern ontwikkeld model en kan onnauwkeurigheden bevatten · Experimenteel
