Russia vs Namibia — International Friendlies

**Russia 6-0 Namibia**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 55% of matches. The primary source of this atypicality was the attacking output, which accounted for 43% of the unusualness. Few shots on target were recorded overall (14 in total, 11th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet Russia was clearly ahead with 14 to Namibia's 0, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. A similar pattern emerged in the box: few shots inside the box were taken in the match (17 in total, 26th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Russia was clearly ahead with 15 to Namibia's 2, a gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Russia maintained significant territorial control, completing 354 passes in the opponent's half compared to Namibia's 74, a gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps. This pressure was reflected in the set pieces, where few corners were taken in the match (7 in total, 11th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Russia was clearly ahead with 7 to Namibia's 0, a gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. Both sides bypassed the midfield frequently, completing a high volume of accurate long balls (Russia 33, Namibia 30; 63 in total, 89th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). In the physical duels, Russia won 15 aerial duels to Namibia's 8, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps, while ground duels were very low for both sides (44 in total, 3rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Namibia focused on defensive positioning, recording 15 interceptions to Russia's 7, a gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Russia win 79%, draw 18%, and Namibia win 3%. The performances pointed to a Russia win and that is what happened, supported by Russia's 14 shots on target to Namibia's 0 and 4 big chances to 1.