Inter vs Parma — Serie A

**Inter 3-0 Parma**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (67% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the build-up, which accounted for 50% of the atypicality. Both teams were highly active in the opponent's half, completing 433 passes in total (89th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). However, Inter was much more active in this area, completing 309 passes to Parma's 124, a +185 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** While Inter held more territory, both sides were equally patient with their own build-up, completing 508 passes in their own half (98th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. Inter was more effective at creating clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 4 big chances to Parma's 0, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. This translated into a higher volume of shots inside the box, where Inter made 13 compared to Parma's 7, a +6 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps. In terms of defensive work, both teams were active in winning the ball back, recording 36 tackles in total (76th percentile of joint volume), with Inter making 20 to Parma's 16. Inter also had a slight edge in reading the game, recording 12 interceptions to Parma's 8, a +4 gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. Regarding the flanks and set pieces, few accurate crosses were in the match, but Inter was clearly ahead with 3 to Parma's 0. Similarly, few corners were in the match, but Inter was clearly ahead with 3 to Parma's 1. Finally, few aerial duels were won in the match, but Inter was clearly ahead with 14 to Parma's 5, a +9 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Inter win 84%, draw 14%, and Parma win 2%. The performances pointed to an Inter win and that is what happened, supported by Inter creating 4 big chances to Parma's 0.