Chivas vs Tigres — Liga MX

**Chivas 1-1 Tigres**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 93% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase (39%) and the build-up (26%). There were few shots from distance in the match, but Chivas was clearly ahead with 13 to Tigres' 1, a gap at the 100th percentile of gaps. Conversely, there were few passes in the opponent's half in the match, but Chivas was clearly ahead with 380 to Tigres' 62, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Chivas maintained a significant territorial advantage and a high volume of pressure, evidenced by 17 shots inside the box to Tigres' 6, a gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. This pressure resulted in 10 corners for Chivas compared to 6 for Tigres, a gap at the 81st percentile of gaps, and 10 successful dribbles to 6. Tigres, meanwhile, focused on defensive stability and clearing the ball under pressure, recording 39 clearances to Chivas' 23, a gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. While Chivas won more aerial duels (32 to 22, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps) and recorded 11 interceptions to Tigres' 6, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps, Tigres was ahead in the tackle count with 11 to Chivas' 7, a gap at the 70th percentile of gaps. Both sides faced heavy pressure, as shown by the 6 blocked shots in the match, which sits at the 73rd percentile of joint volume.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chivas win 37%, draw 31%, and Tigres win 32%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. Chivas created 3 big chances to Tigres' 1, but the 1-1 remains a balanced reflection of the data.