Remo vs Botafogo — Brasileirão

**Remo 2-1 Botafogo**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (97% of matches were more unusual than this one). The primary distinction lies in the build-up, which accounted for 65% of the match's unusualness. Botafogo exerted significant territorial control, completing 352 passes in the opponent's half compared to Remo's 96, a +256 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. This was complemented by Botafogo's attacking width, as they recorded 10 accurate crosses to Remo's 2, a +8 edge at the 98th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** While Botafogo camped in the opponent's half, both sides were equally patient when building from the back, completing 389 passes in their own halves (Remo 188, Botafogo 201) at the 80th percentile of joint volume. Remo responded to Botafogo's pressure by defending deep and getting the ball away, recording 38 clearances to Botafogo's 16, a +22 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. Remo also showed a high reading of the game, recording 12 interceptions to Botafogo's 6, a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps, and 4 blocked shots to 2, a +2 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. In the final third, both teams took 5 shots from distance each, a joint volume at the 71st percentile. Botafogo created more clear-cut scoring opportunities with 2 big chances to Remo's 1, a +1 gap at the 71st percentile of gaps. However, Remo was more direct in their threat, recording 4 shots on target to Botafogo's 2, a +2 gap at the 69th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Remo win 54%, draw 36%, and Botafogo win 10%. The performances pointed to a Remo win and that is what happened. With Remo recording 4 shots on target to Botafogo's 2, the result was deserved.