Juventus vs Napoli — Serie A

**Juventus 2-0 Napoli**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 61% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by the build-up phase. Both sides were extremely active in the final third, recording 16 accurate crosses (97th percentile of joint volume), with Juventus making 11 to Napoli's 5 (91st percentile of gaps). This pressure was further evidenced by a high volume of corners, with 17 in total (88th percentile of joint volume), and Juventus claiming 13 to Napoli's 4 (97th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** The two sides were constantly involved in the opponent's territory, completing 381 passes in the attacking half (94th percentile of joint volume). While both teams were active, Napoli favored a more patient build-up from the back, completing 249 passes in their own half compared to Juventus's 162 (83rd percentile of gaps). Napoli also looked to bypass the midfield more frequently, recording 24 accurate long balls to Juventus's 15 (81st percentile of gaps), even though only 39 accurate long balls were completed in the match (9th percentile of joint volume). Juventus found more success with long-range attempts, recording 9 shots from distance to Napoli's 2 (95th percentile of gaps). In a match with few shots on target (5 in total, 12th percentile of joint volume), Juventus was clearly ahead with 4 to Napoli's 1 (78th percentile of gaps). Juventus also won more of the physical battles, recording 9 interceptions to Napoli's 5 (82nd percentile of gaps, in a match with few interceptions overall, 14 in total) and 28 ground duels to Napoli's 20 (83rd percentile of gaps, in a match with few ground duels won overall, 48 in total).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Juventus win 28%, draw 45%, and Napoli win 27%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 4 shots on target for Juventus and 1 for Napoli, the outcome was a plausible result of the match's dynamics.