Remo vs Mirassol — Brasileirão

**Remo 2-2 Mirassol**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 64% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking actions (36%) and the defensive work (33%). A striking contrast emerged in long-range attempts: few shots from distance in the match, but Remo was clearly ahead (Remo 10, Mirassol 1, 98th percentile of gaps). Conversely, the build-up was defined by a massive disparity in ball retention: few passes in their own half in the match, but Mirassol was clearly ahead (Mirassol 249, Remo 76, 97th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Mirassol utilized their possession to find success on the flanks, recording 6 accurate crosses to Remo's 2 (87th percentile of gaps) and beating opponents one-on-one with 10 successful dribbles to Remo's 4 (89th percentile of gaps). This approach yielded the most clear-cut scoring opportunities, with Mirassol creating 3 big chances to Remo's 1 (71st percentile of gaps). Remo, meanwhile, focused on a more physical and reactive game. They won 19 aerial duels to Mirassol's 12 (87th percentile of gaps) and recorded 19 tackles to Mirassol's 12 (89th percentile of gaps). This pressure forced a high volume of clearances, 61 in total (88th percentile of joint volume), with Remo making 43 to Mirassol's 18 (98th percentile of gaps). Despite these different styles, both sides remained dangerous in the box, recording 12 shots on target in total (91st percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Remo win 55%, draw 33%, and Mirassol win 12%. The performances leaned towards a Remo win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With Mirassol creating 3 big chances to Remo's 1, the draw was a plausible outcome.