Como vs Fiorentina — Serie A

**Como 1-2 Fiorentina**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 83% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (39%) and defending (31%). The contrast in direct play was striking: few accurate long balls in the match, but Fiorentina was clearly ahead with 11 to Como's 7 (66th percentile of gaps). Conversely, Como exerted massive territorial control, making 312 passes in the opponent's half compared to Fiorentina's 79 (96th percentile of gaps). Despite this, the game saw very little aerial activity, with only 25 aerial duels won in total (25th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Fiorentina excelled in one-on-one situations, recording 18 successful dribbles to Como's 7 (98th percentile of gaps) in a game where both sides were highly active in this area (86th percentile of joint volume). While Como pushed the ball forward, they found few avenues to the flanks; few accurate crosses in the match, but Como was clearly ahead with 7 to Fiorentina's 1 (91st percentile of gaps). In terms of defensive actions, the game was played with very few tackles overall (6th percentile of joint volume), but Como was clearly ahead with 19 to Fiorentina's 6 (98th percentile of gaps). Fiorentina focused on reading the game, recording 10 interceptions to Como's 4 (85th percentile of gaps) in a match with few interceptions overall (15th percentile of joint volume). Como also won more aerial duels, 17 to Fiorentina's 8 (93rd percentile of gaps). On the ground, the two sides were perfectly matched, each winning 37 duels.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Como win 35%, draw 32%, and Fiorentina win 33%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 1-2 scoreline reflects a wide-open contest where both sides created 3 shots on target.