Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga

**Augsburg 2-0 1. FC Köln**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 51% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the build-up (32%), defending (26%), and attack (25%). Both teams were involved in a high volume of corners, with 15 in total at the 96th percentile of joint volume, and 1. FC Köln made 9 to Augsburg's 6 (a +3 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps). Defensively, both sides were under significant pressure, recording 64 clearances in total, which ranks at the 97th percentile of joint volume.

**How it played out:** The game was characterized by a patient and safe build-up from the back, with 410 passes in the own half (85th percentile of joint volume), though 1. FC Köln made 222 to Augsburg's 188 (a +34 gap at the 66th percentile of gaps). Direct play was avoided, as both teams completed only 34 accurate long balls (4th percentile of joint volume). On the flanks, 1. FC Köln was more productive, recording 7 accurate crosses to Augsburg's 3 (a +4 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps). Augsburg found more success in the final third, creating 2 big chances to 0 (a +2 gap at the 73rd percentile of gaps). While there were few shots from distance in the match (7 in total, 12th percentile of joint volume), Augsburg was clearly ahead with 6 to 1. FC Köln's 1 (a +5 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps). In the physical battle, few ground duels were won in the match (63 in total, 29th percentile of joint volume), but 1. FC Köln was clearly ahead with 37 to Augsburg's 26 (a +11 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Augsburg win 53%, draw 31%, and 1. FC Köln win 16%. The performances pointed to an Augsburg win and that is what happened, supported by Augsburg creating 2 big chances to 0.