Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC vs Al-Wahda — UAE Pro League

**Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC 1-1 Al-Wahda**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (95% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the attacking phase (44%), with duels (28%) and build-up (23%) also contributing. The most striking feature was the lack of clear-cut scoring opportunities, with only 1 big chance in total (1st percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Similarly, getting into dangerous areas was difficult, as there were only 4 shots inside the box (1st percentile of the two teams' joint volume).

**How it played out:** Both sides opted for a patient and safe build-up from the back, completing 410 passes in their own half (85th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). This cautious approach was mirrored in the wide areas, where there were very few accurate crosses in the match (2 in total, 8th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). While the game was physically demanding, both teams were active in the air, winning 39 aerial duels (77th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). On the ground, the contest was even more combative with 80 duels won (74th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), though Al-Wahda won 48 to Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC's 32 (97th percentile of gaps). There were few corners in the match, but Al-Wahda was clearly ahead with 3 to 1. From distance, both sides were equally restrained, recording 4 shots (17th percentile of the two teams' joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC win 31%, draw 50%, and Al-Wahda win 19%. The performances pointed to a draw (50%), and that is what happened. This was supported by the fact that Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC had 2 shots on target while Al-Wahda had 0.