Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga

**Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Borussia Dortmund**

**What set this match apart:** A very typical match: only small details set it apart; 77% of matches were more unusual than this one. The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the build-up, which accounted for 52% of the atypicality. Both teams were extremely patient in their own halves, completing 509 passes in total (98th percentile of joint volume), with Borussia Mönchengladbach making 51 more than Borussia Dortmund (280 to 229, 69th percentile of gaps). Conversely, both sides were very conservative with direct play, recording only 37 accurate long balls in the match (6th percentile of joint volume), though Borussia Dortmund was clearly ahead with 22 to 15 (76th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Borussia Mönchengladbach was the more threatening side in the final third, creating 4 big chances to Borussia Dortmund's 0 (90th percentile of gaps). While there were few shots on target in the match (5 in total, 12th percentile of joint volume), Borussia Mönchengladbach was clearly ahead with 4 to 1 (79th percentile of gaps). The game lacked long-range attempts, with only 2 in total (4th percentile of joint volume) split evenly between the sides. Borussia Dortmund exerted more territorial control in the opponent's half, making 185 passes to Mönchengladbach's 140 (73rd percentile of gaps). Defensively, Borussia Mönchengladbach won more tackles (16 to 11, 82nd percentile of gaps), while Borussia Dortmund was clearly ahead in blocked shots (3 to 0, 76th percentile of gaps). In the air, Borussia Dortmund was clearly ahead with 13 aerial duels won to Mönchengladbach's 7 (83rd percentile of gaps), despite only 20 duels being won in the match overall (16th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win (59%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Borussia Mönchengladbach win 59%, draw 25%, and Borussia Dortmund win 16%. With 4 big chances to 0, the result was deserved.