Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba — J1 League

**Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United Chiba**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 56% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase (42%) and the build-up (28%). Both teams produced a high volume of shots on target, totaling 15 (98th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with JEF United Chiba making 9 and Kawasaki Frontale making 6 (83rd percentile of gaps). Furthermore, both sides were highly active in the box, recording 22 shots inside the area (96th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**How it played out:** Kawasaki Frontale was the more effective side in creating clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 5 big chances to JEF United Chiba's 1 (89th percentile of gaps). JEF United Chiba, meanwhile, was more active in the final third, completing 215 passes in the opponent's half compared to Kawasaki Frontale's 163 (75th percentile of gaps). While both teams were patient in their own halves with 456 passes in total (92nd percentile of joint volume), JEF United Chiba was much more active there with 268 to Kawasaki Frontale's 188 (82nd percentile of gaps). There were few accurate crosses in the match, but JEF United Chiba was clearly ahead with 6 to Kawasaki Frontale's 1 (91st percentile of gaps). Defensively, Kawasaki Frontale faced more pressure, recording 31 clearances to JEF United Chiba's 12 (94th percentile of gaps). Finally, there were few ground duels won in the match, but Kawasaki Frontale was clearly ahead with 29 to JEF United Chiba's 21 (83rd percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Kawasaki Frontale win 64%, draw 27%, and JEF United Chiba win 9%. The performances pointed to a Kawasaki Frontale win and that is what happened, supported by their 5 big chances compared to JEF United Chiba's 1.