AB vs AaB — Danish 1st Division

**AB 0-2 AaB**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (86% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was distributed across the game, with defending accounting for 29% and attack for 28%. AaB was clearly ahead in terms of clear-cut scoring opportunities, creating 4 big chances to AB's 1, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Conversely, AB was much more active in reading the game, recording 15 interceptions to AaB's 7, a +8 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** AaB found more ways to penetrate the final third, as they also led in the delivery of balls from the flanks with 5 accurate crosses to AB's 1, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. Despite this, the match saw few shots on target overall (6 in total, 15th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but AaB was clearly ahead with 5 to AB's 1. AB focused on a more reactive style, winning more tackles (13 to 11, a 67th percentile gap) and recording 3 blocked shots to AaB's 2, a moderate gap at the 76th percentile. Both sides were also under pressure, as evidenced by the high volume of clearances (46 in total, 78th percentile of joint volume). In the build-up, both teams were patient, completing a large number of passes in their own half (410 in total, 82nd percentile of joint volume), with AaB making 242 to AB's 168. AB also won more one-on-one situations, recording 10 successful dribbles to AaB's 3, a gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps, while aerial duels remained level.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are AB win 16%, draw 30%, and AaB win 54%. The performances pointed to a AaB win, and that is what happened. This result was supported by AaB creating 4 big chances to AB's 1 and 5 shots on target to 1.