Chengdu Rongcheng FC - Qingdao Hainiu — Chinese Super League

**Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1-0 Qingdao Hainiu**

**What set this match apart:** A very typical match: only small details set it apart (64% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the attacking phase (31%) and the duels (29%). Despite a low volume of shots on target in the match (9 in total, 19th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Chengdu Rongcheng FC was clearly ahead with 8 to Qingdao Hainiu's 1, a gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. This disparity was mirrored in the box, where few shots inside the box were recorded (13 in total, 21st percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Chengdu Rongcheng FC was clearly ahead with 10 to Qingdao Hainiu's 3, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Both sides took a great many shots from distance (14 in total, 93rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with Qingdao Hainiu making 8 to Chengdu Rongcheng FC's 6, a gap at the 72nd percentile of gaps. Qingdao Hainiu also exerted sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, recording 8 corners to Chengdu Rongcheng FC's 4, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. In contrast, Chengdu Rongcheng FC showed a more patient or safe build-up from the back, making 222 passes in their own half compared to Qingdao Hainiu's 105, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. Defensively, Chengdu Rongcheng FC faced more pressure, recording 28 clearances to Qingdao Hainiu's 15, a gap at the 88th percentile of gaps, and 4 blocked shots to 1, a gap at the 91st percentile of gaps. Qingdao Hainiu focused on reading the game, recording 14 interceptions to Chengdu Rongcheng FC's 7, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. The game was combative on the ground, with both teams winning 40 and 42 ground duels respectively, while Qingdao Hainiu excelled in one-on-one situations, recording 16 successful dribbles to Chengdu Rongcheng FC's 6, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Chengdu Rongcheng FC win (73%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Chengdu Rongcheng FC win 73%, draw 24%, and Qingdao Hainiu win 3%. This result was supported by Chengdu Rongcheng FC creating 4 big chances to Qingdao Hainiu's 0.