Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź — Ekstraklasa

**Radomiak Radom 2-1 Widzew Łódź**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (86% of matches were more unusual than this one). The primary distinction lay in the defensive phase, which accounted for 42% of the match's unusualness. Both teams recorded a high volume of clearances, with 66 in total at the 97th percentile of joint volume, while Widzew Łódź made 39 to Radomiak Radom's 27 (a +12 gap at the 74th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, while few shots inside the box were recorded in the match (17 in total, 25th percentile of joint volume), Radomiak Radom was clearly ahead with 14 to Widzew Łódź's 3 (a +11 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Widzew Łódź took a more direct approach to bypass the midfield, recording 26 accurate long balls to Radomiak Radom's 15 (a +11 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps), even though only 41 accurate long balls were completed in the match (10th percentile of joint volume). Radomiak Radom looked to exploit the flanks, making 7 accurate crosses to Widzew Łódź's 3 (a +4 gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps). In the defensive third, Widzew Łódź threw bodies in front of shots, recording 7 blocks to Radomiak Radom's 1 (a +6 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps). Radomiak Radom was slightly more active in reading the game, with 13 interceptions to Widzew Łódź's 10 (a +3 gap at the 76th percentile of gaps). The physical battle was defined in the air, where Widzew Łódź won 21 aerial duels to Radomiak Radom's 14 (a +7 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps). Meanwhile, both sides were conservative with their build-up from the back, recording 243 passes in their own half (21st percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Radomiak Radom win 44%, draw 41%, and Widzew Łódź win 15%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. Radomiak Radom secured the win despite having only 2 big chances compared to Widzew Łódź's 0.