Botosani - FC Metaloglobus Bucuresti — Romanian Liga I

**Botosani 3-2 FC Metaloglobus Bucuresti**

**What set this match apart:** A fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits; 57% of matches were more unusual than this one. The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the attacking phase, which accounted for 51% of the atypicality. Both teams created a high volume of clear-cut scoring opportunities, with 10 big chances in total at the 99th percentile of joint volume. Botosani held the edge in this area, creating 6 big chances to 4, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Botosani established a patient build-up from the back, completing 297 passes in their own half compared to 113 for FC Metaloglobus Bucuresti, a +184 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. While there were few accurate crosses in the match (6 in total, 18th percentile of joint volume), Botosani was clearly ahead with 5 to 1, a gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. In terms of direct threat, both sides were active with 13 shots on target (94th percentile of joint volume), with Botosani recording 8 to 5. There were few shots from distance in the match, but Botosani was clearly ahead with 6 to 1, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. Defensively, both sides were under pressure, recording 51 clearances (87th percentile of joint volume). FC Metaloglobus Bucuresti was more proactive in winning the ball back, making 25 tackles to Botosani's 14, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. This combative style was reflected in the ground duels, where FC Metaloglobus Bucureti won 38 to 27, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps, while Botosani won more aerial duels, 17 to 11, a gap at the 84th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Botosani win 38%, draw 28%, and FC Metaloglobus Bucuresti win 34%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 3-2 scoreline follows a match where Botosani had 6 big chances to 4 and 8 shots on target to 5.