West Ham United - Charlton Athletic — Championship

**West Ham United 1-2 Charlton Athletic**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 65% of matches. The primary source of this atypicality was the build-up, which accounted for 46% of the unusualness. Few passes in the opponent's half occurred in the match, but West Ham United was clearly ahead with 412 to Charlton Athletic's 52, a +360 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Similarly, few accurate long balls were recorded in the match, but West Ham United was clearly ahead with 22 to Charlton Athletic's 13, a +9 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** West Ham United focused their pressure on the final third, recording 18 shots inside the box compared to Charlton Athletic's 5, a +13 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. This translated into a high volume of direct threats, with 14 shots on target in total (94th percentile of joint volume), and West Ham United held a +4 edge on target (9 to 5, 86th percentile of gaps). They also found more success on the flanks, recording 10 accurate crosses to Charlton Athletic's 2, a +8 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. Charlton Athletic, meanwhile, were more effective in defensive actions: they recorded 7 interceptions to West Ham United's 2, a +5 gap at the 80th percentile of gaps, and 6 blocked shots to West Ham United's 0, a +6 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. In terms of individual duels, few successful dribbles were recorded in the match, but Charlton Athletic was clearly ahead with 3 to West Ham United's 1, a +2 gap at the 66th percentile of gaps. The physical battle was also contested in the air, with Charlton Athletic winning 16 aerial duels to West Ham United's 11, a +5 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are West Ham United win 51%, draw 26%, and Charlton Athletic win 23%. The performances pointed toward a West Ham United win, but the actual result had only a 23% probability. Despite West Ham United creating 4 big chances to Charlton Athletic's 1, the result remained a narrow defeat.