CDT Real Oruro - Real Potosí — Primera División de Bolivia

**CDT Real Oruro 0-2 Real Potosí**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 75% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (45%) and duels (24%). The most striking feature was the extreme volume of corners, with 17 in total (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume) and no real difference between them. Furthermore, while few aerial duels were won in the match (11 in total, 2nd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Real Potosí was clearly ahead, winning 8 to CDT Real Oruro's 3 (+5, 79th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Both sides bypassed the midfield frequently, completing 75 accurate long balls (89th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with CDT Real Oruro making 49 to Real Potosí's 26 (+23, 97th percentile of gaps). Despite this direct play, both teams were cautious in their own halves, recording only 232 passes in their own half (16th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Real Potosí was more effective down the flanks, making 9 accurate crosses to CDT Real Oruro's 5 (+4, 87th percentile of gaps). In the final third, both teams took 16 shots from distance (96th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with CDT Real Oruro making 10 to Real Potosí's 6 (+4, 84th percentile of gaps). Real Potosí also created the clearer opportunities, making 3 big chances to CDT Real Oruro's 0 (+3, 90th percentile of gaps). Defensively, Real Potosí was under more pressure, making 32 clearances to CDT Real Oruro's 15 (+17, 84th percentile of gaps), while both sides threw bodies in front of shots with 4 blocks each (8 in total, 88th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are CDT Real Oruro win 18%, draw 40%, and Real Potosí win 42%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-2 scoreline is not surprising given that Real Potosí created 3 big chances to CDT Real Oruro's 0.