Nacional Potosí - Always Ready — Primera División de Bolivia

**Nacional Potosí 0-4 Always Ready**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 93% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the duels (29%), attack (29%), and build-up (24%). Always Ready dominated the direct threat, making 9 shots on target to Nacional Potosí's 2, a +7 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. In contrast, the physical battle in the air was extremely limited, with only 7 aerial duels won in the match (1st percentile of joint volume), yet Always Ready was clearly ahead with 6 to Nacional Potosí's 1, a +5 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Always Ready was the more proactive side in the final third, creating 2 big chances to Nacional Potosí's 0, a +2 gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps. They also found more space for long-range attempts, recording 10 shots from distance compared to just 3 for Nacional Potosí, a +7 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Nacional Potosí attempted to use the flanks to find an opening, recording 8 accurate crosses to Always Ready's 2, a +6 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps. While there were few passes in their own half in the match, Nacional Potosí was clearly ahead with 180 to Always Ready's 91, a +89 gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. Defensively, both sides were under constant pressure, recording 12 blocked shots in total (96th percentile of joint volume), with Nacional Potosí making 8 to Always Ready's 4, a +4 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. There were few interceptions in the match, but Nacional Potosí was clearly ahead with 8 to Always Ready's 5, a +3 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Nacional Potosí win 14%, draw 23%, and Always Ready win 63%. The performances pointed to a Always Ready win (63%), and that is what happened. This was reflected in the final scoreline, where Always Ready secured 9 shots on target to Nacional Potosí's 2.