Atlético Nacional contra Llaneros FC — Colombian Primera A

**Atlético Nacional 2-0 Llaneros FC**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (97% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking feature was the high volume of long-range attempts, with 16 shots from distance in total (93rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Llaneros FC took the lead in this area, recording 11 shots from distance compared to Atlético Nacional's 5, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Llaneros FC also managed to get into dangerous areas more frequently, recording 7 shots inside the box to Atlético Nacional's 5 (71st percentile of gaps). Despite these efforts, clear-cut scoring opportunities were scarce for both sides, with only 2 big chances in total (19th percentile of joint volume). Atlético Nacional preferred a patient build-up from the back, completing 240 passes in their own half compared to 129 for Llaneros FC (88th percentile of gaps). In contrast, Llaneros FC looked to bypass the midfield, making 33 accurate long balls to Atlético Nacional's 22 (85th percentile of gaps). Defensively, both teams were under significant pressure, throwing bodies in front of shots to record 8 blocks in total (88th percentile of joint volume), while Atlético Nacional was forced to clear the ball more often, recording 23 clearances to Llaneros FC's 13 (83rd percentile of gaps). While few aerial duels were won in the match, Llaneros FC was clearly ahead with 11 to Atlético Nacional's 8 (68th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Atlético Nacional win 54%, draw 33%, and Llaneros FC win 13%. The performances pointed to an Atlético Nacional win (54%), and that is what happened. This was supported by Atlético Nacional creating 2 big chances to Llaneros FC's 0.