Atlas contra Tigres — Liga MX

**Atlas 0-0 Tigres**

**What set this match apart:** A fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits (53% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the attacking phase (38%) and the defending (33%). Despite a low volume of big chances in the match (1 in total, 2nd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Tigres was clearly ahead with 1 to Atlas's 0, a gap at the 85th percentile. Similarly, there were few shots inside the box in the match (10 in total, 7th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Tigres was clearly ahead with 8 to Atlas's 2, a gap at the 89th percentile.

**How it played out:** Tigres also found more opportunities from distance, recording 5 shots to Atlas's 1, a gap at the 86th percentile in a match with few shots from distance overall (6 in total, 10th percentile). In terms of build-up, Tigres was clearly ahead with 33 accurate long balls to Atlas's 17, a gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps, even though few accurate long balls were made in the match (50 in total, 25th percentile). Both sides were active on the flanks, with Atlas and Tigres recording 5 and 6 accurate crosses respectively, a high joint volume at the 88th percentile. Atlas was more active in defensive actions, recording 14 interceptions to Tigres's 3, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps in a match with few interceptions overall (17 in total, 10th percentile). Atlas also won more tackles, with 19 to Tigres's 9, a gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. Finally, Atlas was clearly ahead in the air, winning 12 aerial duels to Tigres's 9, a gap at the 70th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Atlas win 24%, draw 39%, and Tigres win 37%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-0 draw is not surprising given that Tigres had 3 shots on target while Atlas had 0.