Remo contra Athletico Paranaense — Brasileirão

**Remo 1-2 Athletico Paranaense**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 88% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary deviations occurred in the attacking phase and the build-up. Athletico Paranaense was clearly ahead in terms of direct threat, making 9 shots on target to Remo's 2, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. This was mirrored in the creation of clear-cut scoring opportunities, where Athletico Paranaense was clearly ahead with 4 big chances to Remo's 1, a gap at the 96th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Athletico Paranaense maintained a significant edge in getting into dangerous areas, recording 10 shots inside the box compared to Remo's 2, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. They also found more success with long-range attempts when the box was crowded, making 6 shots from distance to Remo's 1, a gap at the 91st percentile of gaps. This pressure was sustained by a superior build-up, as Athletico Paranaense was clearly ahead with 10 corners to Remo's 3, a gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. They also found more success attacking down the flanks, making 6 accurate crosses to Remo's 1, a gap at the 91st percentile of gaps. While both teams camped in the opponent's half with 341 passes in total, Athletico Paranaense was clearly ahead with 217 to Remo's 124, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. In contrast, Remo was clearly ahead in beating opponents one-on-one, recording 6 successful dribbles to Athletico Paranaense's 3, a gap at the 75th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Remo win 15%, draw 29%, and Athletico Paranaense win 56%. The performances pointed to an Athletico Paranaense win and that is what happened. This was supported by the fact that Athletico Paranaense had 9 shots on target to Remo's 2.