Colorado Rapids contra San Diego FC — MLS

**Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego FC**

**Playing Style:** Colorado Rapids dominated possession (52% vs 48%) and generated more shots (9 vs 6), with a higher volume of shots inside the box (5 vs 4) and successful crosses (3 vs 0). They also had more passes in the opposition half (192 vs 91) and a higher territory share (68% vs 32%). San Diego FC, however, excelled in defensive metrics, winning more duels (45 vs 23), aerial duels (8 vs 2), and ground duels (37 vs 21). They also made more defensive actions (53 vs 28) and had a superior box entry to shot rate (100% vs 47%) and shots on target percentage (33% vs 22%).

**Strengths and Weaknesses:** Colorado’s strengths included higher shot volume, possession dominance, and successful dribbles (7 vs 4). Their weaknesses were a lack of big chances (0 created) and poor conversion from box entries (47% shot rate). San Diego’s strengths lay in defensive efficiency, with more duels won, interceptions (12 vs 5), and tackles (17 vs 7). Their weaknesses included fewer shots (6 vs 9) and lower territory control (32% vs 68%). Both teams failed to register a single big chance, but San Diego’s higher shot quality (33% on target vs 22%) and defensive actions per shot faced (6 vs 5) highlighted their efficiency under pressure.

**Conclusion:** The 1-0 result favors Colorado Rapids despite San Diego FC’s superior performance in key defensive metrics. San Diego had a 47% fair win probability, the highest of any outcome, while Colorado’s 18% win probability suggests their victory was highly unlikely. San Diego’s dominance in duels (45 vs 23), aerial duels (8 vs 2), and defensive actions (53 vs 28) indicates they controlled the game’s tempo and limited Colorado’s chances effectively. Colorado’s lone goal likely came from a low-probability opportunity, as neither team created big chances. The result appears to be a hold-up against the run of play, with San Diego’s performance strongly suggesting they deserved a better outcome.