Independiente contra Independiente Rivadavia — Liga Profesional

**Independiente 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (95% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the build-up (45%) and defending (36%). Independiente exerted sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, recording 11 corners to Independiente Rivadavia's 3, a +8 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. Conversely, Independiente Rivadavia was clearly ahead in direct play, making 29 accurate long balls to Independiente's 18, a +11 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps, despite few accurate long balls in the match overall (47 in total, 25th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Independiente maintained territorial control by camping in the other half, completing 229 passes there compared to Independiente Rivadavia's 102, a +127 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. Both sides were active on the flanks, recording a high joint volume of accurate crosses (11 in total, 71st percentile), with Independiente making 8 to Independiente Rivadavia's 3, a +5 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. In the defensive phase, Independiente Rivadavia was more proactive in winning the ball back by challenging, recording 21 tackles to Independiente's 11, a +10 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. They also excelled at reading the game, making 16 interceptions to Independiente's 8, a +8 gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps, while Independiente threw more bodies in front of shots with 4 blocks to Independiente Rivadavia's 2, a +2 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. The physical battle in the air was intense, with 40 aerial duels won in total (78th percentile of joint volume), and Independiente Rivadavia won 22 to Independiente's 18, a +4 gap at the 74th percentile of gaps. While Independiente was clearly ahead in beating opponents one-on-one, they only managed 7 successful dribbles to Independiente Rivadavia's 3, a +4 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps, in a match with few successful dribbles overall (10 in total, 20th percentile). Ground duels were also scarce, with only 59 won in total (23rd percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Independiente win 25%, draw 32%, and Independiente Rivadavia win 43%. The performances leaned towards an Independiente Rivadavia win, but the actual result was far from unlikely (32%). With Independiente recording 3 shots on target to Independiente Rivadavia's 4, the stalemate was a plausible outcome.