Chivas contra Tijuana — Liga MX

**Chivas 5-2 Tijuana**

**What set this match apart:** This was a fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits (50% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the build-up (48%) and the attack (29%). Both teams created a massive volume of clear-cut scoring opportunities, with 8 big chances in total at the 96th percentile of joint volume, and no real difference between them. Furthermore, both sides were highly active in the final third, recording 12 shots on target (85th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Chivas exerted significant territorial control, completing 306 passes in the opponent's half compared to Tijuana's 133, a +173 gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps. While both teams were active on the flanks with 14 accurate crosses (97th percentile of joint volume), Tijuana held a slight edge with 8 to 6. Tijuana also looked to bypass the midfield more frequently, completing 33 accurate long balls to Chivas's 15, a +18 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps, even though few accurate long balls were recorded overall (17th percentile of joint volume). In physical duels, Tijuana was more successful in the air, winning 17 aerial duels to Chivas's 10, a +7 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps, and won 41 ground duels to 35. Chivas, meanwhile, were more successful in one-on-one situations, recording 13 successful dribbles to Tijuana's 10, a +3 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. Both sides were under constant pressure, evidenced by a high volume of 55 clearances (90th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chivas win 50%, draw 32%, and Tijuana win 18%. The performances pointed to a Chivas win and that is what happened, with Chivas making 8 shots on target to Tijuana's 4.