Granada contra Mallorca — LaLiga 2

**Granada 2-0 Mallorca**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (61% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking distinction was the volume of long-range attempts, with both teams recording 15 shots from distance (84th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), and Mallorca making 11 to Granada's 4 (97th percentile of gaps). While the build-up and attack accounted for the majority of the match's unusualness, the game remained largely conventional in its defensive and duel phases.

**How it played out:** Mallorca exerted significant territorial control, completing 220 passes in the opponent's half compared to Granada's 87 (91st percentile of gaps). Despite this, Granada was more direct, making 35 accurate long balls to Mallorca's 20 (89th percentile of gaps). Granada also found more success on the flanks; there were few accurate crosses in the match, but Granada was clearly ahead with 6 to Mallorca's 1 (87th percentile of gaps). In the final third, Granada was more productive with 6 shots on target to Mallorca's 4 (69th percentile of gaps). Mallorca, however, was more successful in individual actions: there were few successful dribbles in the match, but Mallorca was clearly ahead with 7 to Granada's 2 (85th percentile of gaps). There were also few ground duels won in the match, but Mallorca was clearly ahead with 32 to Granada's 27 (71st percentile of gaps). Granada faced more pressure, recording 24 clearances to Mallorca's 14 (83rd percentile of gaps), while the number of tackles remained balanced.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Granada win 52%, draw 28%, and Mallorca win 20%. The performances pointed to a Granada win (52%), and that is what happened. This was supported by Granada's 6 shots on target to Mallorca's 4 and their 1 big chance compared to Mallorca's 2.