Novorizontino contra Goiás — Brasileirão Série B

**Novorizontino 3-0 Goiás**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 91% of matches in the database, with the unusualness primarily driven by the attacking phase (47%) and build-up (34%). The most striking contrast was in the volume of shots inside the box, where both teams combined for 36 attempts (99th percentile of joint volume), but Novorizontino recorded 26 compared to Goiás's 10 (99th percentile of gaps). This high volume of entries into dangerous areas was mirrored by a massive amount of clear-cut scoring opportunities, with 12 big chances in total (99th percentile of joint volume) and Novorizontino creating 8 to Goiás's 4 (99th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Goiás opted for a patient and safe build-up from the back, completing 379 passes in their own half compared to Novorizontino's 105 (99th percentile of gaps). They also bypassed the midfield more frequently, recording 41 accurate long balls to Novorizontino's 23 (95th percentile of gaps). In contrast, Novorizontino utilized the flanks more effectively, recording 12 accurate crosses to Goiás's 3 (98th percentile of gaps). While both sides were under constant pressure, evidenced by 9 blocked shots in total (92nd percentile of joint volume), Novorizontino was more physically dominant. They won 20 aerial duels to Goiás's 11 (93rd percentile of gaps) and 39 ground duels to 31 (83rd percentile of gaps). There were few successful dribbles in the match, but Goiás was clearly ahead with 6 to Novorizontino's 3 (74th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Novorizontino win 60%, draw 23%, and Goiás win 17%. The performances pointed to a Novorizontino win and that is what happened, supported by their 13 shots on target to Goiás's 4.